What's The Worst That Could Happen?

by M. David Peterson

Update: If the embedded YouTube video doesn't render in your feed reader of choice, you can access it directly via http://www.youtube.com/v/bDsIFspVzfI&hl=en


8 Comments

Jonathan
2008-05-28 15:13:42
People could keep copying the "Twitter!" post on Tech Crunch.
M. David Peterson
2008-05-28 16:03:10
@Jonathan,


>> People could keep copying the "Twitter!" post on Tech Crunch.


Took me a second, but I agree: That is certainly the worst thing that could happen! ;-)


Thanks for the laugh!

M. David Peterson
2008-05-28 16:05:25
@Jonathan,


BTW... At very least mine had something other than the title! ;-) (though come to think of it, the YouTube video probably doesn't render in most feed readers, so it probably seems like I just posted a title without any content. My bad!)

Jason Kolb
2008-05-28 18:12:16
And here I thought I was going to see somebody actually discuss this topic without a bias. Fear is not a good basis on which to make sound judgements.
M. David Peterson
2008-05-28 19:08:01
@Jason,


How the hell have you been?! Great to see your comment!


>> Fear is not a good basis on which to make sound judgements.


100% agree! I think the thing I hate most about these types of arguments is when they use the phrase "This is the most terrifying thing you will ever see." Unfortunately for some reason people seem to believe that if they say something is "terrifying" then people will pay better attention.


That said, the rest of the argument is sound. Thoughts?

daniel
2008-05-28 21:20:05
the holes in your argument:
1. the different odds of GCC happening or not happening will have a major effect on which column to choose.
2. take ANY doomsday theory and apply your analysis, you will have to "ACT" on the crazy doomsday theory.
So your "silver bullet" arguments do not add value to the debate because it can not differentiate GCC theory with any crazy dooms day theory and end up with a different result (not acting in some case)
M. David Peterson
2008-05-28 21:45:33
@daniel,


>> So your "silver bullet" arguments do not add value to the debate because it can not differentiate GCC theory with any crazy dooms day theory and end up with a different result (not acting in some case)


Just to clarify, that's not me in the video. I do agree -- in theory -- to the overall point of the gentleman in the video: Not taking action is the worst possible thing we could do. But to be honest, I personally believe that the increase in the price of oil will have a greater impact on the decisions we make to take action than any sort of legislation/government mandate/etc. could *EVER* have. Take a look at http://greenmonk.net/the-sooner-oil-hits-200-per-barrel-the-better/ for a better understanding of my reasoning. Its amazing how quickly we, as a society, respond to crisis when there's massive profit potentially involved. ;-) (that's not a criticism of capitalism, btw... I am *VERY* much in favor of capitalism. Generating profit is a *wonderful* thing. I wish all of us could do it more. So while paying through the nose for gas sucks, in the long term is may very well prove to be just what we need to ween ourselves off of it and into more eco-friendly alternatives. :)

Jonathan
2008-05-29 16:49:33
@M. David Peterson


Ah! A video! It makes so much more sense now...